Most undervalued
High plausibility, low attention: P(exists) x (1 - attention), where attention blends fame with how many teams have already searched. The index-fund view of treasure hunting — plausible and neglected.
| # | Treasure | Status | Undervalued index | Exists | Findable now | Frontier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cuerdale Hoard | FOUND | 0.80 (fame 2) | LIKELY | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 2 | Panagyurishte Treasure | FOUND | 0.76 (fame 2) | LIKELY | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 3 | Hoxne Hoard | FOUND | 0.67 (fame 3) | LIKELY | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 4 | Staffordshire Hoard | FOUND | 0.66 (fame 3) | LIKELY | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 5 | Honjo Masamune | OPEN | 0.52 (fame 3) | CONTESTED | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 6 | The Mountain Eagle | OPEN | 0.48 (fame 2) | CONTESTED | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 7 | Lost Insular Gospel Manuscripts | OPEN | 0.46 (fame 2) | CONTESTED | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 8 | SS Central America | FOUND | 0.43 (fame 3) | LIKELY | HARD-BUT-POSSIBLE | HARD-BUT-POSSIBLE |
| 9 | The Storm on the Sea of Galilee | OPEN | 0.42 (fame 4) | CONTESTED | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 10 | Priam's Treasure | DISPUTED | 0.42 (fame 4) | LIKELY | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE |
| 11 | Lost Faberge Imperial Eggs | OPEN | 0.42 (fame 4) | CONTESTED | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 12 | Kruger Millions | OPEN | 0.39 (fame 2) | CONTESTED | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 13 | Antikythera Wreck Remaining Cargo | OPEN | 0.38 (fame 4) | LIKELY | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE |
| 14 | Flor de la Mar | OPEN | 0.36 (fame 4) | CONTESTED | HARD-BUT-POSSIBLE | HARD-BUT-POSSIBLE |
| 15 | Mary Dear treasure | OPEN | 0.36 (fame 2) | CONTESTED | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 16 | Merchant Royal | OPEN | 0.35 (fame 4) | CONTESTED | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE |
| 17 | Confederate Gold | OPEN | 0.33 (fame 3) | CONTESTED | HARD-BUT-POSSIBLE | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE |
| 18 | Jean Lafitte's Buried Loot | OPEN | 0.32 (fame 2) | CONTESTED | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 19 | Fort Knox Gold Reserve Audit | OPEN | 0.32 (fame 3) | CONTESTED | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 20 | Loot of the Old Summer Palace | OPEN | 0.30 (fame 4) | CONTESTED | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 21 | San José galleon | FOUND | 0.28 (fame 4) | LIKELY | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE |
| 22 | Copper Scroll Treasure | OPEN | 0.27 (fame 3) | CONTESTED | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 23 | MH370 High-Value Cargo | OPEN | 0.24 (fame 5) | LIKELY | HARD-BUT-POSSIBLE | HARD-BUT-POSSIBLE |
| 24 | The Amber Room | OPEN | 0.19 (fame 5) | CONTESTED | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE |
| 25 | Lima Treasure | OPEN | 0.17 (fame 4) | CONTESTED | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE |
| 26 | Nuestra Señora de Atocha | FOUND | 0.15 (fame 4) | VERY-LIKELY | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE |
| 27 | Yamashita's Gold | OPEN | 0.14 (fame 3) | CONTESTED | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 28 | Nazi Gold Train | OPEN | 0.06 (fame 3) | DOUBTFUL | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE |
| 29 | Lost Dutchman's Gold Mine | OPEN | 0.01 (fame 3) | DOUBTFUL | HARD-BUT-POSSIBLE | PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE |
| 30 | Ark of the Covenant | OPEN | 0.01 (fame 5) | DOUBTFUL | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 31 | Library of Alexandria's lost scrolls | DESTROYED | 0.00 (fame 5) | DOUBTFUL | LONG-SHOT | LONG-SHOT |
| 32 | Beale Ciphers | HOAX | 0.00 (fame 3) | ALMOST-CERTAINLY-NOT | HARD-BUT-POSSIBLE | HARD-BUT-POSSIBLE |
| 33 | Oak Island Money Pit | HOAX | 0.00 (fame 5) | ALMOST-CERTAINLY-NOT | HARD-BUT-POSSIBLE | HARD-BUT-POSSIBLE |