✕ marks the spot

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Antikythera Wreck Remaining Cargo

shipwreck cargo OPEN fame 4/5

The 1st-century-BCE Greek wreck off Antikythera, discovered by sponge divers in 1900, yielded the Antikythera mechanism and major bronze and marble statuary. Twenty-first-century expeditions indicate substantial scattered cargo — and possibly a second wreck — remain on the seabed, not yet fully excavated.

Scorecard

Exists
LIKELY
band 4/5 · raw +2.38
  • +1.00 · class_prior
  • +0.95 · Sponge divers discovered the Antikythera wreck in 1900; early recoveries…
  • +0.42 · Jacques Cousteau's 1976 dives and the 2012-onward Return to Antikythera project…
Findable now
PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE
band 4/5 · raw +4.74
  • +3.00 · technique_term
  • +2.00 · location_term
  • -0.59 · search_term
Findable (frontier)
PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE
band 4/5 · raw +5.04
  • +3.00 · technique_term
  • +2.00 · location_term
  • -0.59 · search_term

Location hypotheses

The interactive map (Leaflet + OpenStreetMap tiles) is the one part of this page that needs a network connection; the hypothesis list below is the offline-readable source of truth.

HypothesisCoordsRadiusPrior PosteriorNote
Antikythera wreck slope, off Antikythera island 35.888, 23.305 1 km 0.70 The confirmed, repeatedly-surveyed site; remaining cargo lies here and possibly a second scatter.

What would it take?

No emerging or speculative technique changes the picture yet — the frontier findability band (PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE) equals the current band. A breakthrough here would need a genuinely new capability, not just a maturing one.

Evidence ledger (3 verified facts)

Technique matrix

TechniqueFamilyMaturityApplicability Rationale
Diver visual survey marine available 3/3 The confirmed site is within technical-diving depth; divers do the recovery.
Remotely operated vehicle (ROV) survey marine available 3/3 ROVs extend bottom time on the steep boulder slope beyond safe diver limits.
Underwater excavation & recovery ground truthing available 3/3 Careful in-situ excavation is the actual recovery method for remaining cargo.
Photogrammetry airborne space available 2/3 3D site models document context before and after lifts.
Side-scan sonar marine available 2/3 Maps the debris scatter and any second-wreck anomaly along the slope.

Search history (negative evidence)

YearsTechniqueCoverageDetection ResultNotes
2012–2022 diver-survey 60% 70% partial Systematic mapping and recovery; site far from exhausted.