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San José galleon

shipwreck cargo FOUND fame 4/5

Spanish galleon, capitana of the Tierra Firme fleet, sunk by the Royal Navy in 1708 off Cartagena with an immense cargo of New World gold, silver, and emeralds; located by a Colombian navy/REMUS AUV survey in 2015.

Resolved (2015-11-27): Located 27 November 2015 by the Colombian Navy with a WHOI REMUS 6000 AUV survey off the Colombian coast; announced 4-5 December 2015. Ownership remains disputed (Colombia / Spain / Sea Search Armada).

Scorecard

Exists
LIKELY
band 4/5 · raw +4.97
  • +1.43 · On 27 November 2015 a Colombian Navy expedition using a WHOI REMUS 6000 AUV…
  • +1.36 · Spanish colonial records show the San José was carrying registered crown and…
  • +1.00 · class_prior
Findable now
PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE
band 4/5 · raw +2.08
  • +2.00 · location_term
  • -0.45 · British accounts of Wager's Action record that the San José's powder magazine…
  • +0.36 · Autonomous underwater vehicles proved capable of locating deep-ocean wreck…
Findable (frontier)
PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE
band 4/5 · raw +2.08
  • +2.00 · location_term
  • -0.45 · British accounts of Wager's Action record that the San José's powder magazine…
  • +0.36 · Autonomous underwater vehicles proved capable of locating deep-ocean wreck…

Location hypotheses

The interactive map (Leaflet + OpenStreetMap tiles) is the one part of this page that needs a network connection; the hypothesis list below is the offline-readable source of truth.

HypothesisCoordsRadiusPrior PosteriorNote
Deep water off Barú / Rosario Islands 10.200, -75.750 25 km 0.45 Approximate public-domain area; the verified 2015 site's exact coordinates are a Colombian state secret.
Sea Search Armada 1982 claimed site 10.160, -75.900 10 km 0.30 SSA's litigated coordinates; later Colombian statements say no wreck lies there.

What would it take?

No emerging or speculative technique changes the picture yet — the frontier findability band (PLAUSIBLY-FINDABLE) equals the current band. A breakthrough here would need a genuinely new capability, not just a maturing one.

Evidence ledger (7 verified facts)

Search history (negative evidence)

YearsTechniqueCoverageDetection ResultNotes
1981–1983 30% 40% partial Claimed sonar target never verified; Colombian courts and later surveys found no wreck at the claimed site.
2015 60% 80% found REMUS 6000 side-scan + camera survey located and photographed the wreck.